“You turn on your network computer, [the software] will show up. There is no store to go to.  There is no installation.” – Larry Ellison, Oracle

“The two most exciting things right now in software are objects and the Web.” – Steve Jobs, NeXT Computer

“The Net enables the deconstruction and the construction of a new economic model for the software industry.” – Eric Schmidt, Sun Microsystems

“The Internet is nothing but good news for software…It means the PC is a more relevant device to a broader set of people.” – Bill Gates, Microsoft

 Powerful quotes from influential people written in a Business Week article entitled, “The Software Revolution”.  The article goes on to discuss “Software Today”:

 “HARDWARE LOCK-IN – Programs written for a specific type of computer ‘platform’ lock customers into hardware that runs the software they need.  The ‘Wintel’ standard (Intel-based PCs using Microsoft Windows) gives a wide choice of PC brands.  But the customers are locked in to the Wintel platform.”

 “DISTRIBUTION – Today, software comes [pre]loaded on the hard drive of your computer when you buy it or in a box from a software store.  This complex distribution chain adds to cost and often forces consumers to buy more than they want.”

 Citing the future of the internet, the article continues:  “SOFTWARE ON DEMAND – In the networked era, computer buyers can jump off the upgrade treadmill.  Instead of waiting for the creator of your favorite program to add a key feature or fix a flaw, you can buy it on the Net from the software supplier – or an enterprising competitor – as soon as the improvement or patch is ready.”

 One more key piece of data from this “blast from the past” – Business Week predicted that the winners of this “new” Internet splurge would be Netscape and Sun… two companies no longer in existence.

 So what are we to learn from this clairvoyant piece of journalism from December, 1995? First and foremost, predicting anything of certainty pertaining to the Internet is nebulous at best.  Second, applications evolve, they are not revolutionized.  This dynamic is critical as we consider the present and future of application and desktop delivery in the Cloud.  And, as in 1995, what works is what subscribers buy and not necessarily what pundits write about. 

 If it can be said “the Net” of 1995 = “the Cloud” of 2011, then it could be the Cloud has finally come of age.  Now if only the Internet (today pronounced Public Cloud) could provide a Desktop just the way I use it on my local drive … that would really be SOMETHING!